BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Tennessee St
Class: 1B Class Rank: 116 Overall: (1-2) Overall Strength = 127.84
Conference: Big South-OVC Football Association Record: (0-0) | District: 1B-01 Record: (1-2)
pre-game current
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk (W-L) Opponent Resid M Predict Predict
1 08/30/2025 Home W * 118.91 24 21 1B 123 (1-3) North Carolina A&T -6.15 12.29 9.15
2 09/06/2025 Home L * 119.48 3 59 1B 7 (3-0) North Dakota St -5.58 * -31.07 -50.42
3 09/13/2025 Home L * 136.78 21 23 1B 107 (3-1) Alabama A&M 11.72 -6.50 -13.72
4 09/27/2025 Home * * 1B 5 (3-0) Tennessee Tech -50.98
5 10/04/2025 Away * * 1B 94 (1-2) Eastern Illinois -12.50
6 10/11/2025 Away * * 1B 78 (1-3) SE Missouri St -18.61
7 10/18/2025 Home * 1B 95 (3-1) Howard -7.81
8 10/25/2025 Home * * 1B 98 (1-3) Western Illinois -5.49
9 11/01/2025 Home * * 1B 60 (2-2) Lindenwood -16.92
10 11/08/2025 Away * * 1B 106 (0-4) Tennessee-Martin -6.43
11 11/15/2025 Home * * 1B 53 (2-2) Gardner-Webb -18.77
12 11/22/2025 Away * * 1B 84 (0-4) Charleston Southern -14.13
Averages 125.05 16.0 34.3
Best game: 136.78 = 2 point loss to Alabama A&M
Worst game: 118.91 = 3 point win over North Carolina A&T
Team stdev: 10.16